Duncan McClements (CERI Futures Fellowship 2024)

McClements extends Alexandrie and Eden (2023) by applying the Barro-Becker model to estimate population recovery after massive reductions. He finds that recovery time is about 550 years regardless of loss magnitude, but the recovery path depends on the initial shock.

Andrew K. Yang and Oona Lagercrantz (CERI Futures Fellowship 2024)

The authors critique Max Tegmark's AGI future scenarios — "Libertarian Utopia," "Egalitarian Utopia," and "Protector God" — as unfeasible or unsafe. They propose a "Confined Oracle" model, where AGI is safely contained and used to provide guidance, aligning with current AI safety research.

Keir Reid (CERI Futures Fellowship 2024)

Reid warns that AI tools like facial recognition, censorship systems, and persuasive algorithms help authoritarian regimes create enduring totalitarian states. By suppressing dissent and undermining democracy, AI poses an existential threat. He urges global action to regulate AI and protect human rights.

Natasha Karner (CERI Futures Fellowship 2024)

The paper explores how AI existential risks apply to the military domain, focusing on Autonomous Weapons Systems (AWS). It identifies three key risks: misalignment, malevolence, and misperception. By examining recent AI uses in conflicts, it aims to bridge x-risk discussions with military AI applications.

Jai Patel (CERI Futures Fellowship 2024)

Patel proposes "axiological seedbanks" to preserve human values in AI development, preventing value lock-in as AI advances. He suggests using virtual reality for moral innovation and emphasizes inclusive governance to align AI with evolving values.